Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.028878 0.034320 0.039993 0.046311 0.053113 0.060182 0.068054
2025-11-23 0.019013 0.026442 0.034763 0.044578 0.055670 0.067672 0.081506
2025-11-30 0.014053 0.022630 0.032854 0.045471 0.060234 0.076645 0.095981
2025-12-07 0.010788 0.020052 0.031746 0.046732 0.064752 0.085190 0.109652
2025-12-14 0.008691 0.018500 0.031527 0.048746 0.069895 0.094244 0.123722
2025-12-21 0.006637 0.016557 0.030493 0.049503 0.073335 0.101165 0.135212
2025-12-28 0.006104 0.016767 0.032234 0.053694 0.080888 0.112872 0.152206
2026-01-04 0.004110 0.014166 0.029826 0.052327 0.081447 0.116173 0.159307
2026-01-11 0.003103 0.012999 0.029290 0.053294 0.084817 0.122759 0.170196
2026-01-18 0.002167 0.011656 0.028329 0.053572 0.087231 0.128127 0.179596
2026-01-25 0.001496 0.010611 0.027692 0.054205 0.090030 0.133916 0.189456
2026-02-01 0.000917 0.009466 0.026754 0.054320 0.092093 0.138751 0.198134
2026-02-08 0.000310 0.007576 0.024397 0.052372 0.091509 0.140444 0.203231
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.005952 0.022232 0.050552 0.091015 0.142211 0.208412
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005383 0.021950 0.051512 0.094228 0.148613 0.219221
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004983 0.021942 0.052858 0.097948 0.155646 0.230797
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004843 0.022452 0.055005 0.102761 0.164064 0.244073
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004357 0.022138 0.055810 0.105702 0.170087 0.254399
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004863 0.024090 0.060267 0.113726 0.182618 0.272750
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003847 0.022416 0.058814 0.113485 0.184544 0.278014
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003512 0.022286 0.059841 0.116693 0.190885 0.288719
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003050 0.021739 0.060137 0.118845 0.195849 0.297708
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002706 0.021434 0.060808 0.121512 0.201466 0.307500